Asari Dokubo Warns Tinubu Over 2027 Prospects, Alleges Growing Political Discontent

Published on 17 February 2026 at 10:04

Reported by: Oahimire Omone Precious | Edited by: Gabriel Osa

Former Niger Delta militant leader and political activist Asari Dokubo has issued a public warning to President Bola Ahmed Tinubu over the political outlook ahead of Nigeria’s 2027 general elections, asserting that the president risks losing public support if urgent corrective measures are not taken.

Dokubo, who has in the past positioned himself as a vocal supporter of Tinubu, expressed concern in a recent public address that the administration is facing growing dissatisfaction among segments of the population. He argued that prevailing economic hardship, rising living costs, and perceived political missteps could weaken the president’s standing if not addressed decisively.

While Dokubo did not formally withdraw his support, his remarks signaled a notable shift in tone. He contended that many Nigerians are struggling under current economic conditions and warned that political goodwill can erode quickly when citizens feel excluded from the benefits of governance. According to him, leaders must remain closely attuned to grassroots sentiment, especially as election cycles approach.

Since assuming office in May 2023, President Tinubu’s administration has implemented a series of sweeping economic reforms. Among the most consequential were the removal of long-standing fuel subsidies and the unification of the foreign exchange market. The policies were framed by the government as necessary structural adjustments aimed at stabilizing public finances and attracting foreign investment. However, they have also triggered inflationary pressures, significantly increasing transportation costs, food prices, and household expenses.

Government officials have repeatedly defended the reforms, stating that short-term discomfort is unavoidable in the pursuit of long-term economic sustainability. The presidency has highlighted efforts to cushion the impact, including social intervention programmes, wage adjustments for public workers, and targeted financial support for vulnerable groups. Nonetheless, public reaction has remained mixed, with labour unions and civil society organisations staging periodic protests over the cost-of-living crisis.

Dokubo’s comments appear to reflect broader debates within Nigeria’s political landscape regarding the administration’s communication strategy and pace of reform. He suggested that political leadership requires not only bold decision-making but also sustained engagement with citizens to maintain trust. In his view, perception management is as critical as policy formulation.

Political analysts note that early positioning for the 2027 elections has already begun within Nigeria’s major parties, though formal campaigns remain years away. The ruling All Progressives Congress has maintained that the president’s reform agenda will yield measurable improvements before the next electoral cycle. Party officials argue that infrastructure expansion, security initiatives, and fiscal restructuring will strengthen the government’s record.

Opposition figures, however, have seized on economic challenges as evidence of policy miscalculation. They contend that while reforms may be necessary, the sequencing and implementation have exacerbated hardship without delivering immediate relief. The debate has intensified scrutiny of inflation data, currency stability, and employment trends as indicators of political momentum.

Dokubo’s intervention carries symbolic weight, particularly in the Niger Delta region, where he has historically commanded attention as a former militant leader turned political commentator. Although he does not hold formal office, his statements often resonate among certain grassroots constituencies. His warning underscores the fluidity of political alliances in Nigeria’s evolving democratic environment.

The presidency has not issued a direct response to Dokubo’s latest remarks. However, administration officials have consistently maintained that reform-driven transformation requires patience. They emphasize that fiscal discipline, improved revenue generation, and diversification of the economy remain central to national recovery efforts.

Nigeria’s political climate has historically been shaped by economic performance. Electoral outcomes frequently reflect public perceptions of living standards, employment prospects, and price stability. With inflation remaining elevated and currency volatility continuing to affect import-dependent sectors, analysts observe that economic stabilization will be pivotal to the administration’s electoral viability.

Beyond economic policy, security concerns also remain central to public discourse. The federal government has pledged intensified operations against insurgency, banditry, and oil theft. Progress in these areas, observers say, could influence broader assessments of governance effectiveness ahead of 2027.

Dokubo’s warning reflects an undercurrent of anxiety among political stakeholders who fear that public patience may be limited. His remarks suggest that political capital, once expended, is difficult to replenish without visible improvement in daily life.

As Nigeria moves deeper into the current electoral cycle, attention will increasingly turn to measurable outcomes. For President Tinubu, the coming years may prove decisive in shaping the narrative of his administration—whether defined by transformative reform or by political vulnerability.

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