Airline Operators and Regulator Locked in High-Stakes Dispute Over Alleged Festive Fare Manipulation

Published on 28 February 2026 at 07:28

Reported by: Oahimire Omone Precious | Edited by: Pierre Antoine

Abuja — Nigeria’s aviation sector has been thrust into a heated national debate following a regulatory investigation into domestic airfares during the December 2025 festive travel period. The dispute, involving the Federal Competition and Consumer Protection Commission (FCCPC) and the Airline Operators of Nigeria (AON), reflects broader tensions over pricing practices, consumer rights, and the survival of domestic carriers amid rising operational pressures.

The controversy stems from an interim report released by the FCCPC’s Surveillance and Investigations Department. In its review, the agency said it uncovered patterns of “price manipulation” and potential fare-fixing by Nigerian airlines during the peak festive season last December — a period when millions of travellers typically take to the skies to celebrate the holidays with family and loved ones. According to the commission, ticket prices on several domestic routes were “materially higher” during the peak period compared to prices observed after the holidays in January 2026, despite little or no change in key cost drivers such as aviation fuel prices, government taxes, and foreign exchange rates. On some routes, the price difference for a single ticket was reported to have reached as high as ₦405,000. These findings, the FCCPC argues, raise serious concerns about arbitrary pricing decisions that may contravene competition and consumer protection laws.

The interim report paints a detailed picture of how fares behaved across different routes. It showed that higher prices were often clustered within narrow ranges across multiple carriers in dense travel corridors, such as the route between Abuja and Port Harcourt, at times coinciding with periods of reduced seat availability. The commission said these patterns point to possible “yield management” strategies and capacity allocation decisions that go beyond natural market responses to demand. It also referenced several sections of the Federal Competition and Consumer Protection Act 2018 — including provisions against price-fixing, abuse of dominant positions, and unfair contract terms — as potentially relevant to its investigation.

FCCPC leadership, including its Executive Vice Chairman and Chief Executive Officer Mr Tunji Bello, defended the probe as part of the agency’s statutory mandate to foster competitive markets and safeguard consumers. Bello stressed that the analysis was interim, aimed at clarifying airline pricing behaviour during peak travel windows, and that further structural and detailed route-level studies are ongoing before any enforcement actions are taken. He emphasized that the regulator does not seek to disrupt legitimate commercial activities, but to ensure that market outcomes remain consistent with the law. The commission has also signalled plans to extend its scrutiny to foreign carriers operating in Nigeria, following consumer complaints that international fares charged to Nigerians exceed those on comparable routes in neighbouring countries.

However, AON has fiercely rejected the FCCPC’s findings, describing the regulator’s position as uninformed, detrimental to the aviation industry, and lacking professional expertise. In statements attributed to AON spokesperson and aviation executive Professor Obiora Okonkwo, the association dismissed the alleged fare manipulation claims as fundamentally flawed and based on a poor understanding of airline economics. Okonkwo argued that the aviation sector operates on complex, data-driven pricing models similar to those used worldwide, and that fares fluctuate naturally according to demand, seat availability, and operational costs. He accused the FCCPC of “playing to the gallery” and interfering in matters beyond its competence, warning that such actions could harm the survival prospects of domestic carriers already contending with high operating expenses, foreign exchange pressures, and infrastructure constraints.

Industry voices say that demand surges around festive seasons are well-known and predictable, often resulting in limited seat availability on popular routes. Airlines contend that dealing with these demand peaks requires sophisticated yield management systems that adjust prices in real time, much like global carriers do — and that sudden price increases reflect market dynamics rather than manipulation or collusion. They also note that costs such as aviation fuel, aircraft leases, maintenance, and foreign-denominated expenses place significant pressures on carriers that are not always transparent in public pricing. Critics of the FCCPC’s report argue that failing to account for these complexities risks oversimplifying commercial pricing decisions and could send the wrong signal to investors and industry partners.

Nonetheless, consumer advocacy groups have been receptive to the regulator’s intervention, framing it as long overdue in a sector where passengers have frequently complained about unpredictable and high ticket costs without adequate explanation. Many travellers reported paying exorbitant fares for last-minute bookings on key domestic routes during the 2025 festive season, fuelling perceptions of arbitrary pricing. These complaints have added pressure on regulators to ensure greater transparency, accountability, and fairness in airline pricing practices, particularly given the essential role of air travel in Nigeria’s vast geography.

Nigeria’s broader aviation regulatory framework also plays a role in the debates. The Nigeria Civil Aviation Authority is responsible for safety and operational oversight, but pricing behaviour falls under the remit of the FCCPC. Observers say coordination between these agencies is crucial when commercial practices intersect with regulatory compliance, and that clearer guidelines on acceptable pricing behaviour during peak seasons could help reduce future disputes.

Economic analysts caution that any heavy-handed regulatory action could have unintended consequences for an already fragile industry. Several carriers have faced financial headwinds in recent years, with some reducing routes or operations due to mounting costs and limited resources. Ensuring the viability of domestic airlines is considered vital for national connectivity and economic activity. At the same time, protecting consumer interests and maintaining public trust in Nigeria’s aviation market are priorities that cannot be ignored.

In an apparent attempt to find common ground, AON has proposed the establishment of a joint technical committee involving regulators, airlines, and consumer representatives to review pricing methodologies and address misconceptions. The group argues that industry-wide collaboration — rather than public dispute — would better serve the goal of improving transparency and resolving tensions.

As the investigation continues, the outcome of this dispute may set important precedents for how pricing practices are regulated in Nigeria’s aviation sector. With travel demand expected to rise in the coming years, balancing commercial viability with consumer protection remains a delicate challenge that will require careful judgement, sustained dialogue, and robust regulatory frameworks.

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